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As the elections approach, the debate over opinion polls and exit polls is unlikely to die down any time soon. After a sting operation on the C-voter survey, a pre-poll agency whose surveys are used by various news outlets, questions were raised on both the legitimacy and necessity of these surveys.Political parties have for long opposed opinion polls as and when they found the results going against them. When the pre-poll surveys before state elections predicted a Congress defeat, the party issued an advisory to its workers asking them to not turn up in TV shows based on these polls.In a debate moderated by Rajdeep Sardesai on CNN IBN, right after the C-voter incident, sociologist and political analyst Dipankar Gupta said that just because there have been instances of manipulation, doesn't mean the process should be banned yet.Columnist Vivek Dehejia in his column in the Business Standard counters opinions expressed by other journalists which emphasised that it would be foolish to say that opinion polls actually influenced the voter. Dehejia cites a research by Manasa Patnam which looks at exit polls in India and says that voters might actually be influenced by exit polls.Summarising Patnam's findings, Dehejia writes:"If early voters heavily favour party "A" over "B" - merely because early-voting regions contain a disproportionate share of "A" supporters - there might be a momentum swing in favour of "A", which would not have occurred if a different region had voted first. On the other hand, heavy early support for "A" could galvanise supporters of "B" voting in later phases of the election to come and support their party in greater numbers, and so there might be the opposite impact."If that is indeed the case, then the argument against the existence of opinion polls gains in legitimacy. However, like Gupta pointed out, instead of banning the polls completely, there is merit in appointing an independent regulatory body to keep a watch in these polls.But exit polls aren't the only medium to influence opinion and spread rumours among voters.In this age of social media, it wouldn't be too difficult to make impressions, courtesy the mammoth internet armies most parties have. Word-of-mouth, village meets, informal gatherings - there are more than just one means through which ideas can be spread among voters.Read the complete Business Standard article here.Manasa Patnam's original paper on how opinion polls can influence voters can be found here.

BJP reshuffle: Amit Shah gives key role to MJ Akbar, sets up new departments

from firstpost

BJP reshuffle: Amit Shah gives key role to MJ Akbar, sets up new departments

New Delhi:BJP President Amit Shah on Mondayrestructured the party set-up,assigning key roles to his confindants Vinay Sahasrabuddhe, Kailash Vijayvargiya and M J Akbar, andconstituted new departments ...


Whistleblower in Vyapam scam claims threat to his family, demands CBI probe

from ibn

Whistleblower in Vyapam scam claims threat to his family, demands CBI probe

Bhopal: Whistleblower Anand Rai, who blew off the lid of the high profile Vyapam scam in madhya Pradesh, claims that his family has been receiving threats and has demanded a probe by the Central Burea...

Shah gives key roles in BJP to MJ Akbar, Kailash Vijayvargiya, other confidants

from ibn

Shah gives key roles in BJP to MJ Akbar, Kailash Vijayvargiya, other confidants

New Delhi: Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) President Amit Shah on Monday restructured the party set-up assigning key roles to his confidants Vinay Sahasrabuddhe, Kailash Vijayvargiya and MJ Akbar and con...

AAP's latest directiveto babus: Meet public for an hour daily to address complaints

from firstpost

AAP's latest directiveto babus: Meet public for an hour daily to address complaints

New Delhi: The AAP government has directed all heads of departments to meet the public and address their grievances every day.Deputy Chief Minister Manish Sisodia today held a meeting with senior off...

Referendum on statehood to Delhi shows AAP's 'anarchist nature', says BJP's Delhi chief

from firstpost

Referendum on statehood to Delhi shows AAP's 'anarchist nature', says BJP's Delhi chief

New Delhi: BJP on Monday slammed the move of AAP government to hold referendum on the issue of full statehood to Delhi saying it was an example of the party's "anarchist nature" and Chief Mi...

Now Madhya Pradesh Police constable quizzed over Vyapam scam four months back found dead

from ibn

Now Madhya Pradesh Police constable quizzed over Vyapam scam four months back found dead

New Delhi: The Vyapam scam is getting murkier by the day. One more death as been reported in connection with the deadly scam after a constable Ramakant Pandey was found hanging from the ceiling at a t...

Enhance MPLAD Fund instead of hiking MPs' pay, says Shanta Kumar

from firstpost

Enhance MPLAD Fund instead of hiking MPs' pay, says Shanta Kumar

Dharamsala: Opposing the proposal to hike salaries of parliamentarians, BJP's Shanta Kumar on Monday said the government should instead enhance MP Local Areas Development Fund."In the present sce...